– The inflation rate in September is expected to slightly decrease, says John Eliasson, price statistician at Statistics Sweden.

According to preliminary statistics, the inflation rate according to the CPI decreased from 1.9 percent in August to 1.6 percent in September. The monthly change for the CPI from August to September was 0.2 percent.

The preliminary inflation rate according to the CPIF (Consumer Price Index with fixed interest rate) decreased from 1.2 percent in August to 1.1 percent in September. The monthly change for the CPIF from August to September was 0.3 percent.

For CPIF-XE (CPIF excluding energy), the preliminary inflation rate in September was 2.0 percent, which can be compared with 2.2 percent in August. The monthly change for the CPIF-XE from August to September was 0.4 percent.

The CPI flash estimates are preliminary estimates published five working days before the official publication. For the flash estimates, only CPI, CPIF, and CPIF-XE at the aggregated level are published. More detailed information and definitive figures will be available on October 15.

Read more about the CPI flash estimates here: Information about the CPI flash estimates (scb.se).

Different measurements of inflation

Statistics Sweden calculates different measurements of inflation for different purposes. In Sweden, the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most common measure of inflation, but the CPIF is the measure that the Riksbank uses as its target variable for the monetary policy. The CPIF includes the same goods and services as the CPI. The difference between the CPI and the CPIF is that in the CPIF, household mortgage interest rates are held constant. This means that the effect of changes in household mortgage interest rates is only captured in the CPI and not in the CPIF.

Regular publication

2024-10-15 at 8:00 am

Flash CPI estimate

2024-11-07 at 8:00 am