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Consumer Price Index (CPI), March 2025

The inflation rate according to CPI was 0.5 percent in March 2025

Statistical news from Statistics Sweden 2025-04-11 8.00

The inflation rate according to the CPI was 0.5 percent in March 2025, down from 1.3 percent in February. The monthly change for the CPI from February to March was a fall with 0.7 percent. The inflation rate according to the CPIF (Consumer Price Index with fixed interest rate) was 2.3 percent in March, down from 2.9 percent in February.

“Lower electricity and fuel prices contributed to a lower inflation rate in March. However, the decline was offset by higher food prices” says Caroline Neander, statistician at Statistics Sweden.

In brief

Index, monthly and yearly changes for CPI, CPIF, and CPIF-XE
  Index
Numbers
Monthly
changes,
percent
Annual
changes,
percent
CPI (1980=100) 416.20 ‑0.7 0.5
CPIF (1987=100) 266.62 ‑0.5 2.3
CPIF-XE (1987=100) 251.77 0.0 3.0

  • In March, prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages were 5.4 percent higher compared to March 2024.
  • Electricity prices decreased by 9.5 percent from February to March and were 3.1 percent lower than 12 months ago.
  • Fuel prices declined by 5.5 percent from February to March and were 12.1 percent lower than March last year.
  • After a long period with price increases on package holidays, they now have a negative annual rate.
  • The yearly book sale contributed to a 22.5 percent decrease in book prices from February to March and the prices fell with 9.5 percent compared to March last year.

Electricity- and fuel prices fell in March

The total price development from February to March was a decline with 0.7 percent. In the corresponding period last year, prices increased by 0.1 percent.

Electricity prices and interest expenses fell from February to March, which contributed to lower housing costs. In addition, the prices of package holidays, fuels and home-electronics* decreased. The prices of books fell slightly more than they usually do at the time of the book sale.

The decline was slowed down by higher prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages as well as higher prices for car rentals.

*Home- electronics - Audio-visual, photographic and information processing equipment, according to COICOP- standard

The table below shows changes on a monthly basis and contributions to the CPI based on the goods and services that had the greatest impact on the CPI in February 2025. The results are presented by COICOP category. COICOP refers to the United Nations classification of household consumption expenditure.

Monthly contributions to the CPI for goods and services
Category (Coicop) Monthly
changes,
percent
Contribution to CPI
Monthly change,
percentage points
Food and non-alcoholic beverages (01) 0.8 0.1
Electricity (04.5.1) ‑9.5 ‑0.3
Interest expense, owner-occupied housing (part of 04.x) ‑2.6 ‑0.1
Interest expense, tenant-owned apartments (part of 04.y) ‑3.1 ‑0.1
Fuels and lubricants for personal transport equipment (07.2.2) ‑5.5 ‑0.1
Car rental (part of 07.2.4) 9.9 0.1
Books (part of 09.5) ‑22.5 ‑0.1
Package holidays (09.6) ‑12.9 ‑0.2

Contributions to the inflation rate in March

The inflation rate according to the CPI, that is, the change in the CPI from the same month last year, was 0.5 percent in March 2025. This is a decrease from February, when the inflation rate was 1.3 percent.

The inflation rate in March was affected by higher prices for food and non-alcoholic beverages. Prices for coffee, chocolate and dairy products had a major impact. Prices on restaurant visits and miscellaneous goods and services also increased. Additionally, prices for clothing and footwear have increased but had the lowest annual rate since December 2020.

The inflation rate was offset by lower fuel prices and lower housing costs, where electricity prices and interest expenses had a clear downward impact. On the other hand, there were higher rents for rental apartments and higher monthly rates for tenant-owned apartments.

The inflation rate according to the CPIF, which unlike the CPI is not affected by changes in interest rates on household mortgages, was 2.3 per cent in March, which was a decrease from 2.9 percent in February.

The inflation rate according to CPIF calculated excluding energy products (CPIF-XE) was 3.0 percent in March which was unchanged since February.

Contributions to the inflation rate
Category (Coicop) Yearly change,
percent
Contribution
yearly change
CPI
percentage points
Food and non-alcoholic beverages (01) 5.4 0.7
Chocolate (part of 01.1.8) 28.9 0.1
Coffee (part of 01.2.1) 30.0 0.1
Clothing and footwear (03) 1.4 0.1
Main rental, rental apartments (04.S.1) 5.8 0.4
Interest expense, owner-occupied housing (part of 04.x) ‑20.1 ‑1.0
Interest expense, tenant-owned apartments (part of 04.y) ‑23.2 ‑0.6
Fuels and lubricants for personal transport equipment (07.2.2) ‑12.1 ‑0.4
Catering services (11.1) 4.1 0.3
Miscellaneous goods and services (12) 3.2 0.2

Different measures of inflation

Statistics Sweden calculates different inflation measures for different purposes. The CPIF is the Riksbank’s target variable, while CPI is the measure used for purposes of compensation. The CPIF includes the same goods and services as CPI. The difference between the CPI and the CPIF is that the latter measure holds interest rates for household’s mortgages constant. Consequently, the effect of changed interest rates for household’s mortgages is only captured by the CPI and not the CPIF.

Additional to the CPI and the CPIF, the HICP is also calculated. The HICP is a harmonized measure of inflation used within the EU cooperation. Another index that is calculated each month is CPIF-XE (the CPIF excluding energy products) which is often used as a measure of underlying inflation.

Measures of inflation
Consumer Price Index (CPI), March 2025

CPI flash estimate: a preliminary indicator

The CPI flash estimate is a preliminary indicator for the aggregated inflation that is published five working days before the regular publication of the Consumer Price Index (CPI). Sometimes the CPI flash estimate can deviate from the regular CPI. For more information, please see:

Information about the CPI flash estimate

Next publishing will be

CPI flash estimate

2025–05–07 at 8.00 am.

Ordinary publication

2025-05-14 at 8.00 am.

Statistical Database

More information is available in the Statistical Database

Feel free to use the facts from this statistical news but remember to state Source: Statistics Sweden.

Statistical agency

Statistics Sweden

E-mail
priser@scb.se

Enquiries

Caroline Neander

Telephone
+46 10 479 46 21
E-mail
caroline.neander@scb.se

Martin Ottosson

Telephone
+46 10 479 43 58
E-mail
martin.ottosson@scb.se