- Preliminary numbers show a lower inflation rate in March according to CPI and CPIF, says Caroline Neander, statistician at Statistics Sweden.

According to preliminary statistics, the inflation rate according to the CPI decreased from 1.3 percent in February to 0.5 percent in March. The monthly change for the CPI from February to March was -0.7 percent.

The preliminary inflation rate according to the CPIF (Consumer Price Index with fixed interest rate) decreased from 2.9 percent in February to 2.3 percent in March. The monthly change for the CPIF from February to March was -0.5 percent.

For CPIF-XE (CPIF excluding energy), the preliminary inflation rate in March was 3.0 percent, which it also was in February. The monthly change for the CPIF-XE from February to March was 0.0 percent.

The CPI flash estimates are preliminary estimates published five working days before the official publication. For the flash estimates, only CPI, CPIF, and CPIF-XE at the aggregated level are published. More detailed information and definitive figures will be available on April 11.

Read more about the CPI flash estimates here: Information about the CPI flash estimates (scb.se).

Different measurements of inflation

Statistics Sweden calculates different measurements of inflation for different purposes. In Sweden, the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) is the most common measure of inflation, but the CPIF is the measure that the Riksbank uses as its target variable for the monetary policy. The CPIF includes the same goods and services as the CPI. The difference between the CPI and the CPIF is that in the CPIF, household mortgage interest rates are held constant. This means that the effect of changes in household mortgage interest rates is only captured in the CPI and not in the CPIF.

Regular publication

2025-04-11 08:00 am.

Flash CPI estimate

2025-05-07 08:00 am.