Population projections

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A population forecast for Sweden is carried out every year, broken down by age, sex and country of birth group. A more comprehensive analysis is carried out every third year of future population trends, where a main alternative and alternative projections are produced. Follow-ups and revisions are carried out for the years in between.

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Statistical news

Nearly 90 000 more people in Sweden in 2030

2025-04-11

The number of children per woman, or the total fertility rate in 2024 was the lowest ever in history and fertility is estimated to continue to be at a low level in the next few years. Meanwhile the number of elderly people as well as number of deaths is estimated to increase. All these, together with a lower level of net migration compared to earlier years, contribute to an increase of population, but at a slower pace than in recent years.

All statistical news for this statistic

Tables in the Statistical Database

Latest projections

Name	Date
Population by born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Life expectancy by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Population by region, born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2024 - 2070	2024-06-11
Population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2024 - 2070	2024-06-11
Number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2024 - 2070	2024-06-11

Latest assumptions

Name	Date
Death rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14
Emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2025 - 2120	2025-04-14

Latest projections with alternative assumptions

Name	Date
Number of births, deaths, migration and population under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2024 - 2120	2024-04-25
Population size by age, sex, region of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2024 - 2120	2024-04-25
Fertility under different alternatives and region of birth. Year 2024 - 2120	2024-04-25
Life expectancy under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2024 - 2120	2024-04-25

Earlier projections

Name	Date
Projection 2022 population by region, born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Forecast year 2022 - 2070	2022-05-25
Projection 2022 population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2022 - 2070	2022-05-25
Projection 2022 number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2022 - 2070	2022-05-25
Projection 2021 population by born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 life expectancy by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2021 - 2120	2021-04-13
Projection 2021 population by region, born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Forecast year 2021 - 2070	2021-06-03
Projection 2021 population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2021 - 2070	2021-06-03
Projection 2021 number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2021 - 2070	2021-06-03
Projection 2020 population by region of birth, age and sex. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 population size, number of birth, deaths and migration by region, sex and age. Year 2020 - 2070	2020-06-03
Projection 2020 number of births, deaths, natural increase, migration, net migration, population increase and population size by region. Year 2020 - 2070	2020-06-03
Projection 2019 population by region of birth, age and sex. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projections life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2018 population by region of birth, age and sex. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2015 population by age and sex. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2016-03-23
Projection 2015 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 number of births by mothers country of birth and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2012 population by age and sex. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 number of births by mothers country of birth and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2009 population by age and sex. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 life expectancy by sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 number of births by mothers country of birth and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2006 population size by age and sex. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-05-30
Projection 2003 population size by age and sex. Year 2002 - 2050	2003-05-22
Projection 2000 population size by age and sex. Year 1999 - 2050	2000-07-06
Projection 2023 population by born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2023 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age2023. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2023 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2023 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2023 life expectancy by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2024 population by born in Sweden/foreign born, age and sex. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11
Projection 2024 number of births by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11
Projection 2024 life expectancy by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11
Projection 2024 number of births, deaths, immigrants, emigrants and population size. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11
Projection 2024 population size, number of deaths, immigrants, emigrants and average population size by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11

Earlier assumptions

Name	Date
Projection 2020 death rate by sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2020 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2020 - 2120	2020-04-08
Projection 2019 death rate by sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2019 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2019 - 2120	2019-04-12
Projection 2018 death rate by sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2015 death rate by sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 fertility assumption. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projections 2015 fertility assumption by mothers country of birth (grouped). Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 age specific fertility rate by mothers country of birth and mothers age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 emigration rate by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2012 death rate by sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 fertility assumption. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projections 2012 fertility assumption by mothers country of birth (grouped). Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 age specific fertility rate by mothers country of birth and mothers age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 emigration rate by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projections 2009 fertility assumption. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 fertility assumption by mothers country of birth (grouped). Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 age specific fertility rate by mothers country of birth and mothers age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 emigration rate by country of birth, sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 death rate by sex and age. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2023 death rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2023 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2023 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2023 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2024 death rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11
Projection 2024 fertility rate by mother´s region of birth and age. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11
Projection 2024 emigration rate by region of birth, sex and age. Year 2024 - 2120	2025-04-11

Earlier projections with alternative assumptions

Name	Date
Projection 2021 number of births, deaths, migration and population under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2021 population size by age, sex, region of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2021 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2021 fertility under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2021 life expectancy under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2021 - 2120	2024-04-25
Projection 2018 number of births, deaths, migration and population under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 fertility and life expectancy under different alternatives, region of birth and sex. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2018 population size by age, sex, region of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2018 - 2120	2018-04-26
Projection 2015 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2015 population size by age, sex, country of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2015 - 2110	2015-05-19
Projection 2012 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2012 population size by age, sex, country of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2012 - 2110	2012-05-22
Projection 2009 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2009 population size by age, sex, country of birth and alternative assumptions. Year 2009 - 2110	2009-05-13
Projection 2006 number of births, deaths, migration, population and fertility under different alternatives. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-10-13
Projection 2006 life expectancy by sex and alternative assumption. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-10-13
Projection 2006 population size by age, sex, country of birth (born in Sweden or abroad) and alternative assumptions. Year 2006 - 2050	2006-08-31

Publications

Title	Language	Type	Date
The future population of Sweden 2025-2070	Swedish	Report	2025-04-11
Alternative population projections for Sweden 2024–2070	Swedish	Report	2024-08-13
The future population in counties and municipalities of Sweden, 2024-2040	Swedish	Report	2024-06-11
The future population of Sweden 2024-2070	Swedish	Report	2024-04-25
Appendix, The future population of Sweden 2024-2070	Swedish	Report	2024-04-25
Evaluation of the regional population projections 2020-2022	Swedish	Report	2023-10-24
The future population of Sweden 2023-2070	Swedish	Report	2023-04-18
The future population of Sweden 2022-2070	Swedish	Report	2022-04-13
Scenaries of asylum immigration and impact on the population	Swedish	Report	2022-04-13
The future population in counties and municipalities of Sweden, 2021–2040	Swedish	Report	2021-06-03
The future population of Sweden 2021-2070	Swedish	Report	2021-04-28
Appendix, The future population of Sweden	Swedish	Report	2021-04-28
The future population of Sweden 2020–2030	Swedish	SM	2020-06-03
The future population of Sweden 2020-2070	Swedish	SM	2020-04-08
The future population of Sweden 2019-2070	Swedish	SM	2019-04-12
The future population of Sweden 2018–2070	Swedish	Report	2018-04-26
The future population of Sweden 2016–2060	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2018-03-13
The future population of Sweden 2017-2016	Swedish	SM	2017-04-06
The future population of Sweden 2015–2060	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2015-05-19
The future population of Sweden 2014–2060	Swedish with elements of English	SM	2014-04-15
Re-immigration of Swedish-born by background	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2014-02-14
The significance of time in Sweden for fertility	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2012-02-06
Return migration by time spent in Sweden	Swedish with elements of English	Rapport	2011-09-16

Show older publications (48)

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Simple URL: https://www.scb.se/be0401-en